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American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) |
Global Steel Market Braces for Impact as U.S. Expands Tariffs
U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Sunday, ahead of the Super Bowl, that he will impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports starting Monday. While the exact implementation timeline remains unclear, the move underscores his administration’s broader strategy of trade protectionism.
Expanded Tariffs and Reciprocal Measures
Trump also hinted at the introduction of reciprocal tariffs as early as Tuesday or Wednesday. "If they charge us, we charge them," he stated, reinforcing his intent to counter nations imposing tariffs on U.S. exports.
For Chinese exporters, a 25% duty on steel and aluminum is not new. The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) had already implemented similar tariffs on Chinese-origin steel and other imports, effective September 27, 2024. Additionally, in early February, the White House levied an extra 10% tariff on all Chinese goods imports, citing reasons such as illegal immigration and drug trafficking, including fentanyl.
Global Implications and Market Reactions
Unlike previous measures that targeted China, the new tariffs apply globally, impacting key steel exporters like Canada, Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, and Vietnam. Analysts speculate that the decision is aimed at curbing transshipment practices, where Chinese semi-finished steel is processed in third countries like Mexico or Vietnam before being exported to the U.S.
According to data from the U.S. government and the American Iron and Steel Institute, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico are the largest sources of U.S. steel imports, with South Korea and Vietnam also playing significant roles.
"Trump hopes to redirect more steel orders to domestic mills, ultimately driving the revival of the U.S. steel industry," an industry analyst commented. However, concerns remain regarding the economic impact. Many U.S. economists warn that heightened tariffs could drive inflation and hinder long-term growth.
As Trump moves aggressively on trade just 20 days into his presidency, global steel markets and key trading partners brace for potential disruptions and retaliatory actions.